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Psychological Analysis of Fear-Based Healthcare Messaging: Comparing HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 Through the Lens of Spiral Dynamics

Dr. Tomás Campbell [1], a member of the BPS Division of Clinical Psychology Faculty for HIV and Sexual Health, article "Towards more inclusive and Empowering Healthcare Campaigns" [2] presents a compelling analysis of the evolution of HIV/AIDS messaging over four decades, tracing a path from fear-based approaches to more empowering, inclusive strategies. This progression reflects significant advances in both medical understanding and psychological approaches to public health communication. 

The SDTEST® survey data on fears provides an excellent opportunity to examine how these evolving messaging strategies align with contemporary fear psychology and value systems as described by Spiral Dynamics theory.


Comparative Analysis of HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 Fear Prevalence


The SDTEST® survey "Fears" involving 3,679 participants across 105 countries reveals that HIV/AIDS now ranks relatively low at 4%, while COVID-19 ranks even lower at just 2%. Below is a abridged version of the survey results. The full results are available for free in the FAQ section after login or registration.


Strahovi

zemlja
jezik
-
Mail
Preračunati
Kritične vrijednosti koeficijenta korelacije
Normalna distribucija, William Sealy Gosset (student) r = 0.0322
Normalna distribucija, William Sealy Gosset (student) r = 0.0322
Non Normalna distribucija, od Spearman r = 0.0013
DistribucijaNe
normalno
Ne
normalno
Ne
normalno
NormalanNormalanNormalanNormalanNormalan
Sva pitanja
Sva pitanja
Moj najveći strah je
Moj najveći strah je
Answer 1-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0509
Slabo pozitivno
0.0353
Slab negativan
-0.0167
Slabo pozitivno
0.0940
Slabo pozitivno
0.0349
Slab negativan
-0.0183
Slab negativan
-0.1554
Answer 2-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0194
Slabo pozitivno
0.0016
Slab negativan
-0.0408
Slabo pozitivno
0.0642
Slabo pozitivno
0.0454
Slabo pozitivno
0.0126
Slab negativan
-0.0968
Answer 3-
Slab negativan
-0.0015
Slab negativan
-0.0086
Slab negativan
-0.0466
Slab negativan
-0.0457
Slabo pozitivno
0.0478
Slabo pozitivno
0.0754
Slab negativan
-0.0172
Answer 4-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0408
Slabo pozitivno
0.0320
Slab negativan
-0.0223
Slabo pozitivno
0.0187
Slabo pozitivno
0.0301
Slabo pozitivno
0.0224
Slab negativan
-0.0965
Answer 5-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0297
Slabo pozitivno
0.1339
Slabo pozitivno
0.0088
Slabo pozitivno
0.0792
Slab negativan
-0.0007
Slab negativan
-0.0227
Slab negativan
-0.1792
Answer 6-
Slab negativan
-0.0035
Slabo pozitivno
0.0113
Slab negativan
-0.0659
Slab negativan
-0.0085
Slabo pozitivno
0.0205
Slabo pozitivno
0.0842
Slab negativan
-0.0303
Answer 7-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0119
Slabo pozitivno
0.0427
Slab negativan
-0.0709
Slab negativan
-0.0287
Slabo pozitivno
0.0477
Slabo pozitivno
0.0655
Slab negativan
-0.0496
Answer 8-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0639
Slabo pozitivno
0.0832
Slab negativan
-0.0292
Slabo pozitivno
0.0150
Slabo pozitivno
0.0348
Slabo pozitivno
0.0132
Slab negativan
-0.1343
Answer 9-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0681
Slabo pozitivno
0.1696
Slabo pozitivno
0.0047
Slabo pozitivno
0.0669
Slab negativan
-0.0144
Slab negativan
-0.0506
Slab negativan
-0.1780
Answer 10-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0770
Slabo pozitivno
0.0736
Slab negativan
-0.0207
Slabo pozitivno
0.0263
Slabo pozitivno
0.0315
Slab negativan
-0.0105
Slab negativan
-0.1289
Answer 11-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0621
Slabo pozitivno
0.0594
Slab negativan
-0.0051
Slabo pozitivno
0.0080
Slabo pozitivno
0.0176
Slabo pozitivno
0.0238
Slab negativan
-0.1225
Answer 12-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0424
Slabo pozitivno
0.1016
Slab negativan
-0.0350
Slabo pozitivno
0.0354
Slabo pozitivno
0.0304
Slabo pozitivno
0.0239
Slab negativan
-0.1526
Answer 13-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0680
Slabo pozitivno
0.1023
Slab negativan
-0.0379
Slabo pozitivno
0.0271
Slabo pozitivno
0.0404
Slabo pozitivno
0.0140
Slab negativan
-0.1620
Answer 14-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0725
Slabo pozitivno
0.0997
Slab negativan
-0.0033
Slab negativan
-0.0064
Slabo pozitivno
0.0023
Slabo pozitivno
0.0114
Slab negativan
-0.1216
Answer 15-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0549
Slabo pozitivno
0.1346
Slab negativan
-0.0341
Slabo pozitivno
0.0170
Slab negativan
-0.0195
Slabo pozitivno
0.0208
Slab negativan
-0.1180
Answer 16-
Slabo pozitivno
0.0666
Slabo pozitivno
0.0287
Slab negativan
-0.0339
Slab negativan
-0.0426
Slabo pozitivno
0.0647
Slabo pozitivno
0.0251
Slab negativan
-0.0746


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Uredu

This modest fear prevalence contrasts sharply with the historical positioning of HIV/AIDS as a primary existential threat during the 1980s-90s. As the article aptly notes, early HIV/AIDS campaigns relied heavily on fear-based messaging, leveraging protection-motivation theory to drive behavioral change through graphic depictions of mortality and disease. The current survey results suggest these diseases have been partially normalized in the public consciousness, supporting the article's observation that medical advancements have transformed HIV from a death sentence to a manageable chronic condition.


When examining broader fear contexts, it's noteworthy that personal concerns about "illness of relatives and children" (11%) and general "illness" (8%) outrank specific disease fears like HIV/AIDS or COVID-19. This pattern indicates that abstract illness threats generate more anxiety than particular diseases that have been subject to extensive public education campaigns. This finding aligns with the article's discussion of how healthcare messaging has evolved toward destigmatization and normalization, particularly for HIV/AIDS.


Spiral Dynamics Correlations: Understanding Value Systems and Fear Responses


The correlation data between disease fears and Spiral Dynamics stages provides fascinating insights into how different value systems engage with health threats. HIV/AIDS shows a positive correlation (0.0662) with Orange-level thinking, which represents achievement-oriented, strategic value systems. This alignment makes psychological sense, as Orange thinking prioritizes personal agency and risk management. Individuals operating from this value system may respond more actively to diseases perceived as consequences of personal behavior choices.


Conversely, HIV/AIDS fears correlate negatively with Yellow (-0.0516) and more strongly with Turquoise (-0.1776) value systems. These second-tier thinking systems in Spiral Dynamics represent more complex, integrative worldviews that may contextualize disease within a broader systemic understanding. The stronger negative correlation with Turquoise thinking is particularly notable, as this holistic perspective tends to integrate mortality and vulnerability into a comprehensive worldview, potentially reducing fear responses to specific conditions.


For COVID-19, the correlation pattern differs significantly. The positive correlation with Green thinking (0.0637) suggests that communitarian, egalitarian value systems may experience heightened concern about highly communicable diseases that threaten community well-being. This aligns with the article's discussion of how modern healthcare campaigns increasingly emphasize collective responsibility and community protection. The negative correlations with Blue (-0.0342), Orange (-0.0409), and Turquoise (-0.0748) value systems suggest varied psychological responses across the spiral.


Implications for Evolving Healthcare Messaging


The article chronicles a shift from fear-based campaigns toward empowerment and behavioral strategies, noting how psychological frameworks like self-efficacy theory and social norm theory have informed this evolution. The SDTEST® data supports the efficacy of this shift by demonstrating relatively low fear ratings for HIV/AIDS despite its historical stigma. This suggests that destigmatizing, empowering messaging approaches may have successfully normalized the condition in public consciousness.


The varying correlations between fears and Spiral Dynamics stages also validate the article's emphasis on intersectionality and tailored messaging. Different value systems appear to process disease threats through distinct psychological frameworks, which has significant implications for public health communication. The article notes that "campaigns are now much more carefully designed to address diverse populations," which aligns with the need to consider value system diversity in designing effective interventions.


Advancing Psychologically Informed Healthcare Communications


The relatively weak correlation between disease fears and specific Spiral Dynamics stages (with the critical value of the correlation coefficient for a normal distribution, by William Sealy Gosset (Student) r = 0.0323) suggests that fears of HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 transcend value systems but manifest differently within them. This finding supports the article's conclusion that messaging must "remain effective, compassionate, and mindful of nuance." The positive correlation between HIV/AIDS fears and Orange thinking, contrasted with COVID-19's positive correlation with Green thinking, demonstrates how different diseases activate different value concerns.


The article's discussion of digital and social media platforms as vectors for modern healthcare messaging presents opportunities for even more targeted value-specific communications. Understanding the psychological frameworks through which different Spiral Dynamics stages process health information could enable micro-targeted campaigns that resonate more effectively with diverse audiences. For instance, messaging aimed at Orange-dominant thinkers might emphasize personal agency and achievement in health management, while Green-focused messaging might highlight community protection and collective responsibility.


Conclusion


The evolution of HIV/AIDS messaging described in the article reflects a sophisticated understanding of psychological principles, moving from protection-motivation theory toward self-efficacy and social norm approaches. The SDTEST® data validates this progression by showing relatively modest contemporary fear responses to HIV/AIDS despite its historical stigmatization. The correlation patterns between disease fears and Spiral Dynamics stages provide valuable insights for further refining healthcare communications to resonate with different value systems.


The comparative data between HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 fears, particularly their different correlation patterns with Spiral Dynamics stages, suggests that disease characteristics interact with value systems to produce distinct psychological responses. As the article argues, effective healthcare campaigns must continue to evolve based on evidence rather than prejudice. The SDTEST® data offers this evidence, demonstrating how fears of specific conditions correlate with different psychological frameworks and value systems.


This integration of fear psychology, mathematical correlation, and Spiral Dynamics theory provides a robust foundation for developing increasingly sophisticated, psychologically informed healthcare messaging strategies that can effectively engage diverse populations across the spiral of human development.



Sources

[1] https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomas-campbell-40202785/
[2] https://www.bps.org.uk/blog/towards-more-inclusive-and-empowering-healthcare-campaigns


2025.02.28
Valerii Kosenko
Vlasnik proizvoda SaaS SDTEST®

Valerii je 1993. godine stekao kvalifikaciju socijalnog pedagoga-psihologa i od tada primjenjuje svoje znanje u upravljanju projektima.
Valerii je magistrirao i kvalifikaciju menadžera projekta i programa 2013. godine. Tokom magistarskog programa upoznao se sa Planom puta projekta (GPM Deutsche Gesellschaft für Projektmanagement e. V.) i Spiral Dynamics.
Valerii je autor istraživanja neizvjesnosti V.U.C.A. koncept koji koristi spiralnu dinamiku i matematičku statistiku u psihologiji i 38 međunarodnih anketa.
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Bok tamo! Da vas pitam, da li ste već upoznali sa spiralnom dinamikom?