पुस्तक आधारित परीक्षण «Spiral Dynamics:
Mastering Values, Leadership, and
Change» (ISBN-13: 978-1405133562)
प्रायोजकहरू

Future of Jobs and Generative AI

The advent of large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT promises to transform the workplace by automating or augmenting a wide range of occupational tasks. However, a single perspective cannot fully grasp both the opportunities and risks these technologies represent across industries, workers, businesses and society. This article analyzes the World Economic Forum’s recent white paper [1] assessing the impact of LLMs on jobs through the lens of Spiral Dynamics. This integral framework reveals how different value systems perceive threats and opportunities differently. Administrative roles face disruption but efficiency gains (Blue). Innovative businesses are pressured to adopt but see new revenue potential (Orange). Vulnerable workers require support amidst job transformations (Green). Policymakers struggle to holistically analyze systemic impacts (Yellow). Realizing the benefits of LLMs requires honoring multiple worldviews, evolving processes, encouraging innovation, caring for people and conducting systems analysis. The analysis provides insights into LLMs’ multi-dimensional impacts and underscores the need for inclusive dialogue and initiatives to shape the AI-enabled future of work.


Here are the key points:

  1. LLMs could significantly impact many jobs due to their ability to automate or augment language-based tasks, which account for an estimated 62% of work time.
  2. The analysis assessed over 19,000 work tasks across 867 occupations to assess their LLM exposure. Tasks with high automation potential are routine and repetitive clerical/administrative tasks. Tasks with high augmentation potential require more abstract reasoning and problem-solving. Tasks with lower exposure potential emphasize interpersonal interaction.
  3. Occupations with the highest automation potential include credit authorizers, telemarketers, statistical assistants, and tellers. Occupations with the highest augmentation potential include insurance underwriters, bioengineers, mathematicians, and editors. Occupations with lower exposure include counselors, clergy, home health aides, and lawyers.
  4. Adopting LLMs will also likely create new roles like AI developers, content creators, interface designers, data curators, and AI ethics specialists.
  5. The financial services and information technology industries have the overall highest potential exposure. The finance and IT functional areas also have increased exposure.
  6. Significant alignment exists between occupations this analysis identifies as having high augmentation potential and those the Future of Jobs Report found to have high expected job growth. Similarly, occupations with high automation potential align with declining occupations.
  7. The report concludes LLMs will transform jobs and tasks, requiring strategies by businesses and government to prepare workforces for the change through training, transition support, and social safety nets. Overall, LLMs present opportunities to raise productivity and create new jobs, if managed responsibly.



Spiral Dynamics stages



What color are you Spiral Dynamics?


ColorBeigePurpleRedBlueOrangeGreenYellowTurquoise
In a lifeSurvivalFamily relationsThe rule of forceThe power of truthCompetitionInterpersonal relationsFlexible streamThe Global vision
In a businessOwn farmFamily businessStarting up a personal businessBusiness Process ManagementProject managementSocial networksWin-Win-Win behaviorSynthesis

Here is an analysis of the World Economic Forum white paper on large language models and jobs through the lens of Spiral Dynamics stages:


Spiral Dynamics StageQuotes from Document
 Beige No relevant quotes
 Purple No relevant quotes
 Red No relevant quotes
 Blue "With 62% of total work time involving language-based tasks, the widespread adoption of LLMs, such as ChatGPT, could significantly impact a broad spectrum of job roles." (p.4) This reflects the blue focus on structure, process and order.
 Orange "Adopting LLMs will transform business and the nature of work, displacing some existing jobs, enhancing others and ultimately creating many new roles." (p.19) This reflects the orange drive for innovation and progress.
 Green "Governments can also partner with and support employers and educational institutions to provide training programs that prepare workers for the jobs that will grow and benefit the most from LLMs. Additionally, social safety nets and assistance in transitioning to new roles will need to be reimagined and be more precisely targeted for those most likely to be affected." (p.19) This reflects the green concern for people and relationships.
 Yellow "To assess the impact of LLMs on jobs, this paper provides an analysis of over 19,000 individual tasks across 867 occupations, assessing the potential exposure of each task to LLM adoption, classifying them as tasks that have a high potential for automation, high potential for augmentation, low potential for either or are unaffected (non-language tasks). The paper also provides an overview of new roles that are emerging due to the adoption of LLMs." (p.4) This reflects yellow's emphasis on complex systems analysis.
 Turquoise No relevant quotes


The document overall reflects blue, orange, and green worldviews, with some elements of yellow systems thinking. There are no clear expressions of the beige, purple, red or turquoise value systems. This analysis illustrates how technology impacts different aspects of society and values.



Threats



Here is an analysis of threats and affected stakeholders through the lens of Spiral Dynamics stages:


Spiral Dynamics StageThreatsAffected Stakeholders
 Beige No major threats identified N/A
 Purple No major threats identified N/A
 Red No major threats identified N/A
 Blue Disruption of administrative processes and routines Organizations, administrative staff
 Orange Pressure to rapidly adopt new technologies Businesses, managers
 Green Job losses, inequality, lack of support during transition Individual workers, marginalized groups, society
 Yellow Complexity of analyzing and managing impacts Policy-makers, business leaders
 Turquoise No major threats identified N/A


In summary, the blue stage is threatened by disruption of established administrative processes, the orange faces pressure to innovate, the green risks job losses and inequality, and the yellow struggles with complex systems analysis. This highlights how different worldviews perceive threats and opportunities from the same technology trend. A holistic perspective is needed to understand the range of stakeholders and design responsible policies.


Elon Musk said about the danger of artificial intelligence (A.I.) in an interview with Tucker Carlson in April 2023. Below you can read an abridged version of the results of our VUCA poll "A.I. and the end of civilization". The full version of the results is available for free in the FAQ section after login or registration.

कृत्रिम बुद्धिमत्ता र सभ्यताको अन्त्य

देश
भाषा
-
Mail
पुन: स्थापना
सहसंबंध गुणांकको आलोचनात्मक मूल्य
सामान्य वितरण, विलियम समुद्री पाउडसेट द्वारा (विद्यार्थी) r = 0.0723
सामान्य वितरण, विलियम समुद्री पाउडसेट द्वारा (विद्यार्थी) r = 0.0723
भायरम्यान द्वारा गैर सामान्य वितरण r = 0.0029
वितरणगैर
सामान्य
साधारणगैर
सामान्य
साधारणसाधारणसाधारणसाधारणसाधारण
सबै प्रश्नहरू
सबै प्रश्नहरू
1) सुरक्षा (कति तपाईं सहमत वा असहमत हुनुहुन्छ?)
2) नियन्त्रण (कति तपाईं सहमत वा असहमत हुनुहुन्छ?)
1) सुरक्षा (कति तपाईं सहमत वा असहमत हुनुहुन्छ?)
Answer 1-
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0643
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0187
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0956
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.1202
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0005
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0499
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0193
Answer 2-
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0151
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0051
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0441
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0253
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0350
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0038
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0503
Answer 3-
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0220
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0216
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0115
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0603
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0284
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0143
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0013
Answer 4-
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0293
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0083
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0101
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0467
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0320
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0006
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0502
Answer 5-
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0072
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0246
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0240
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0477
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0335
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0284
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0527
Answer 6-
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0121
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0537
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0769
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0657
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0086
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0466
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0152
Answer 7-
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0591
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0965
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0600
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0071
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0060
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0071
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0168
2) नियन्त्रण (कति तपाईं सहमत वा असहमत हुनुहुन्छ?)
Answer 8-
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0132
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0035
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0801
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0543
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0260
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0781
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0439
Answer 9-
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0242
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0234
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0420
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0280
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0824
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0099
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0551
Answer 10-
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0165
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0378
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0547
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0176
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0019
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0566
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0289
Answer 11-
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0146
कमजोर सकारात्मक
3.46E-5
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0290
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0583
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0296
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0094
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0558
Answer 12-
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0069
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0343
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0508
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0414
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0658
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0075
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0442
Answer 13-
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0955
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0364
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0180
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0054
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0261
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0732
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0073
Answer 14-
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0035
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0867
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0352
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0661
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0264
कमजोर नकरात्मक
-0.0137
कमजोर सकारात्मक
0.0689


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Opportunities



Here is an analysis of opportunities and affected stakeholders through the lens of Spiral Dynamics stages:


Spiral Dynamics StageOpportunitiesAffected Stakeholders
 Beige No major opportunities identified N/A
 Purple No major opportunities identified N/A
 Red No major opportunities identified N/A
 Blue Increased efficiency of administrative processes Organizations, administrative staff
 Orange Creation of new business models and revenue streams Businesses, entrepreneurs
 Green Upskilling workers, maintaining an inclusive workforce Individual workers, marginalized groups, society
 Yellow Holistic analysis of technology's impact on work Policy-makers, business leaders
 Turquoise No major opportunities identified N/A


In summary, blue sees opportunities for improved efficiency, orange in innovation and profit, green in supporting workers, and yellow in systems analysis. This highlights how different worldviews perceive opportunities from the same technology trend. An integral perspective is required to balance opportunities for organizations and individuals.


GAP Analysis



Here is a GAP analysis from a Spiral Dynamics perspective:


Spiral Dynamics StageGAP Analysis
 Beige No major gap identified
 Purple No major gap identified
 Red No major gap identified
 Blue GAP: Lacks discussion of how to evolve administrative processes rather than just making existing ones more efficient
 Orange GAP: Could provide more examples of how new business models and industries could arise from LLMs
 Green GAP: More detail is needed on programs to support workers through transitions and ensure opportunities are inclusive
 Yellow GAP: Deeper analysis required on technological impacts across education, business, and government domains
 Turquoise GAP: Holistic vision absent - how could LLMs improve society and actualization beyond business impacts?


In summary, blue could be used more on process evolution, orange on business model innovation, green on worker support, yellow on cross-domain impacts, and turquoise on realizing higher human potential. This reflects common gaps faced when new technologies are viewed primarily through one worldview lens rather than holistically. An integral perspective is needed to fully understand impacts and opportunities.


Overcome Gaps



Here are some suggested measures to overcome the gaps through the lens of Spiral Dynamics perspective:


Spiral Dynamics StageSuggested Measures to Overcome GAPs
 Beige N/A
 Purple N/A
 Red N/A
 Blue Conduct process redesign workshops to evolve administrative workflows
 Orange Research case studies and build scenarios describing new LLMs-enabled business models
 Green Profile reskilling programs and multi-stakeholder partnerships to support workers
 Yellow Model impacts of LLMs on education, healthcare, government, and other complex systems
 Turquoise Envision how LLMs could advance human potential and consciousness evolution


In summary, suggested measures include:
  • Blue: Process redesign workshops
  • Orange: New business model research
  • Green: Reskilling program profiles
  • Yellow: Modelling systemic impacts
  • Turquoise: Envisioning advancing human potential

This highlights the value of taking a holistic perspective and utilizing tools and ways of thinking from multiple stages and worldviews to fully understand and act upon the opportunities presented by emerging technologies like large language models.


Conclusion



The Spiral Dynamics framework reveals that the opportunities and threats presented by large language models are perceived differently across value systems. Blue sees potential efficiency gains but disruption of administrative routines. Orange focuses on innovation possibilities but feels pressured to rapidly adopt. Green emphasizes supporting impacted workers but risks exacerbating inequalities. Yellow provides systems analysis but grapples with complexity.

Fully realizing the benefits of large language models in the workplace and society requires transcending any worldview. An integral approach that honors multiple perspectives is needed. This includes evolving processes, encouraging innovation, caring for people, and systemic analysis. Further, a holistic vision looks beyond business impacts to how emerging technologies can advance human potential and social actualization.

By understanding these different value perspectives, businesses, policymakers, and workers can collaboratively shape the future of work in the age of artificial intelligence. A shared vision arises when stakeholders cooperate across stages of psychological and social development. This white paper provides insights into the multi-dimensional impacts of large language models across industries, occupations, and societal roles. Yet more inclusive dialogue and initiatives are needed to proactively guide this technology for the benefit of all.


[1] https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Jobs_of_Tomorrow_Generative_AI_2023.pdf

2023.10.12
भ्यालेरी नानिको
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